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This is the best draft in the league against the second best, 95 against 92, and the projections have it at 137.7 to 135.1, a 2.6 point gap that a single Lamar Jackson scramble erases. Coletrain22 runs Lamar and Caleb Williams under center, farti counters with Brock Purdy and Bo Nix, two arms he got in back to back rounds for a combined 17 picks of profit. Bowers at pick 32 against a 20.9 ADP versus Harold Fannin at 81 is a tight end mismatch on paper. Two guys who spent all night hammering value now find out whose value was real.
| Team | Record | PF | PA | FAAB left | This week | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MarfffaMarfffa |
0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | $100 | 139.8 |
| 2 | ![]() Scout Team Hero PodcastScoutTeamHero0630 |
0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | $100 | 139.8 |
| 3 | ![]() PhiloTDsJordanVM |
0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | $100 | 139.7 |
| 4 | ![]() fartifarti |
0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | $100 | 137.7 |
| 5 | CTE All Starsteekist |
0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | $100 | 135.2 |
| 6 | Coletrain22Coletrain22 |
0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | $100 | 135.1 |
| 7 | Amon-Raw Doggin itjessfox2 |
0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | $100 | 134.2 |
| 8 | We Got Upsidebdemeyer |
0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | $100 | 133.9 |
| 9 | Mr.Pocketdogsdgaylord37 |
0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | $100 | 132.4 |
| 10 | ![]() DJ Dugg-NastyDuggyHowzer |
0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | $100 | 127.0 |
| 11 | ![]() Slick With Sludgegaylord757 |
0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | $100 | 124.9 |
| 12 | ![]() Shiny catch basin jewelschairlift |
0-0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | $100 | 115.7 |
Nobody has played a snap yet, so this is week 1 projections wearing a standings costume.
No games yet, so I put on the draft tape at four in the morning with a coffee the size of a fire bucket, and man, this room understands what superflex means. Josh Allen at 7, Lamar Jackson at 9, Joe Burrow at 10, Jalen Hurts at 15, four quarterbacks in nine picks, and then everybody who blinked spent the next hundred picks apologizing for it. teekist got the market's QB1 four spots past his 3.0 ADP and posted the only clean sheet in the building, zero reaches. Coletrain22 wins the whole thing at 95 by pairing Lamar with Caleb Williams at pick 40 when ADP said 26.4, then adding Bryce Young at 136, three arms, plus 40 on net ADP, nobody else finished positive except farti at plus 15 and teekist at plus 18.
Now the other side of the ball, and it is not pretty. chairlift finished at minus 216 net ADP with five reaches and zero steals, which is not a draft, that is a garage sale where he was the only bidder. Malik Nabers at 14 against a 34 ADP with an ACL tag, Josh Jacobs at 35 who now sits at NA with a groin and a 0.0 projection, Parker Washington 23 picks early, and a quarterback room of Jaxson Dart and Cam Ward in a league that starts two. His team projects 115.7 for week one, which is 24 points behind the leaders before a single ball is snapped. Meanwhile gaylord757 sat on his hands and let 74 picks go by before taking Jordan Love, then took Jacoby Brissett at 142 as the entire backup plan, and scored a 9 out of 25 on quarterback room. In this format that is showing up to a knife fight with a napkin.
And the special teams tape, holy smokes. gaylord757 spent pick 123 on Brandon Aubrey, 34 picks before market, while his QB2 was still on the board. JordanVM took Wil Lutz at 164 when kicker ADP said 265.6, which is 101 picks of unnecessary conviction on a 6.9 point projection. Coletrain22, the man who won the draft, closed it out by taking Chris Boswell 39 picks early. Then before kickoff ScoutTeamHero0630 cut Aaron Rodgers, whom he had just stolen at pick 163 for plus 21.8 of value, to add a running back projected at 1.9 points, and chairlift dropped Denzel Boston, whom he had reached 45 picks early at 134, for Kaleb Johnson and his 0.4 point projection. Twelve teams, one league, and two rosters already playing musical chairs with players they drafted eleven days ago.
JordanVM got Patrick Mahomes at pick 68 when the format ADP was 44.3, nearly two full rounds of discount on a starting superflex quarterback, and then backed him with Baker Mayfield at 77 and Daniel Jones at 140 for plus 28.2. That is how you build three deep at the position that decides this league.
gaylord757 used pick 123 on Brandon Aubrey, 34 picks ahead of a 157.3 ADP, while his quarterback room was Jordan Love and nothing else, and he did not add Jacoby Brissett until pick 142. Nineteen picks between the kicker and the backup quarterback in a league that starts two of them.
Christian McCaffrey is questionable with an undisclosed issue and he is the 21.0 point centerpiece of the league's top projected roster. ScoutTeamHero0630 starts him unless the man is ruled out, because the fallback behind him is MarShawn Lloyd.
Ja'Marr Chase carries a knee tag and a 19.7 projection on a team that only projects 124.9 for the week. gaylord757 has no replacement worth the conversation, the next WR up is Jalen Nailor at 8.3, so he starts him and watches the Friday report like a hawk.
Mahomes is questionable with a knee at 19.2 projected, and JordanVM is the rare manager with a real answer: Baker Mayfield projects 19.8 and Daniel Jones 18.0. If Mahomes is limited on Friday, slide Mayfield into the superflex and lose nothing.
Puka Nacua is questionable with an undisclosed and projects 20.5, the highest of any JordanVM receiver by four points. He was pick 5 for a reason, he starts, but Ja'Kobi Lane at 3.7 is not a plan B, so keep the wire open.
Kenneth Walker is questionable with a foot and projects 15.5, the top skill piece on a DuggyHowzer roster that already sits 11th in PAR at 297. If he sits, RJ Harvey at 10.3 slides up and this lineup gets very thin behind two elite quarterbacks.
Malik Nabers is questionable with an ACL note and still projects 13.8, which on this roster is the second best starter chairlift owns. He has to run him out there, because the bench alternatives are Josh Downs, also questionable, and Chig Okonkwo.