Draft score 84, second in projected PAR at 472, and a week one projection of 139.8 that leads the league. Jahmyr Gibbs at 1.01 is the correct answer, Jayden Daniels at 24 and Dak Prescott at 49 against a 36.1 ADP is a legitimate superflex tandem, but it stops at two, and Greg Dulcich is not covering a bye. The net ADP of minus 40 is mostly late round tuition, including Dulcich at 168 with a 234 ADP. Trey McBride at 25 for four picks of value and David Montgomery at 72 against 65.6 are the kind of quiet adds that win Novembers.
Value Dak Prescott, pick 49, ADP 34
Reach Greg Dulcich, pick 168, ADP 231
QB room Jayden Daniels p24, Dak Prescott p49
Net value -32 vs ADP, 0 steals, 1 reach
Proj No. 2 roster on season points above replacement
Cleated Rivalry
jessfox2, slot 2
C+
A 71 because the top of the board is excellent and the middle bled out, minus 113 on net ADP. Bijan Robinson at 2, Ashton Jeanty at 23 and Drake Maye at 26 against an 11.2 ADP is the best three pick sequence anyone had, and Colston Loveland at 50 against 39.7 was smart. Then came Egbuka 10 early, Odunze 9 early, Alec Pierce 16 early and KC Concepcion 11 early, which is four consecutive rounds of paying above market. Two quarterbacks with Sam Darnold as the entire insurance policy is thin for a roster that projects third in PAR at 444.
Value Drake Maye, pick 26, ADP 13
Reach Tyler Loop, pick 167, ADP 220
QB room Drake Maye p26, Sam Darnold p74
Net value -108 vs ADP, 0 steals, 1 reach
Proj No. 3 roster on season points above replacement
Slick With Sludge
gaylord757, slot 3
C-
A 65, minus 69 net ADP, and the quarterback score of 9 out of 25 tells the story: first arm off the board at pick 75 in Jordan Love, second is Jacoby Brissett at 142. In a two quarterback starting format that is playing a road game every single week. Ja'Marr Chase at 3 is a fine anchor, but Bucky Irving at 27 against a 53.1 ADP is 26 picks of premium, and Brandon Aubrey at pick 123 is a kicker taken 34 picks early. Mark Andrews at 147 against a 116.5 ADP was the one genuine bargain, and the 124.9 week one projection is second to last.
Value Mark Andrews, pick 147, ADP 117
Reach Brandon Aubrey, pick 123, ADP 160
QB room Jordan Love p75, Jacoby Brissett p142
Net value -89 vs ADP, 1 steal, 2 reaches
Proj No. 8 roster on season points above replacement
We Got Upside
bdemeyer, slot 4
C-
A 65 with minus 54 net ADP and a receiver room that cost full price three straight rounds: Smith-Njigba, Drake London and Chris Olave all taken ahead of ADP for a combined 16 picks of overpay. Justin Herbert at 52 against a 32.7 ADP is a genuine steal and one of the best quarterback values in the room. Then Tyler Shough at 69 with an 87.2 ADP, 18 picks early, locks him into a two quarterback build where the QB2 is a rookie-adjacent lottery ticket. Tenth in projected PAR at 340, so the upside in the team name has to actually arrive.
Value Justin Herbert, pick 52, ADP 33
Reach Tyler Shough, pick 69, ADP 89
QB room Justin Herbert p52, Tyler Shough p69
Net value -65 vs ADP, 1 steal, 1 reach
Proj No. 10 roster on season points above replacement
PhiloTDs
JordanVM, slot 5
B+
An 83, three steals, and a perfect 20 out of 20 on roster balance. Patrick Mahomes at 68 against a 44.3 ADP is the biggest quarterback discount of the draft, Baker Mayfield at 77 and Daniel Jones at 140 against a 111.8 ADP make it three deep, which matters more than ever now that Mahomes carries a questionable knee tag. Fourth in projected PAR at 439 with Nacua, Chase Brown and A.J. Brown up top. The comedy is Wil Lutz at pick 164 when kicker ADP said 265.6, 101 picks early, for a man projected at 6.9.
Value Daniel Jones, pick 140, ADP 112
Reach Wil Lutz, pick 164, ADP 255
QB room Patrick Mahomes p68, Baker Mayfield p77, Daniel Jones p140
Net value -5 vs ADP, 3 steals, 1 reach
Proj No. 7 roster on season points above replacement
I Dont Know What Im Doing
ScoutTeamHero0630, slot 6
A
Number one roster in projected PAR at 476 and a 139.8 week one projection, tied for the highest in the league, and that carries a 91. Trevor Lawrence at 43 was fair, Kyler Murray at 67 against an 83.3 ADP was 16 picks of reaching, and then he took Aaron Rodgers at 163 for plus 21.8 of value before cutting him for a running back projected at 1.9 points. That leaves two quarterbacks in a superflex, which is walking a tightrope with no net. Tucker Kraft at 91 against a 75.1 ADP was terrific right up until the ACL note showed up, and MarShawn Lloyd at 126 against a 167 ADP was the one indulgence.
Value Aaron Rodgers, pick 163, ADP 146
Reach MarShawn Lloyd, pick 126, ADP 142
QB room Trevor Lawrence p43, Kyler Murray p67, Aaron Rodgers p163
Net value +3 vs ADP, 1 steal, 0 reaches
Proj No. 1 roster on season points above replacement
CTE All Stars
teekist, slot 7
A-
A 90 and the only board in the room with zero reaches against the 15 pick threshold, plus 18 on net ADP. Josh Allen at pick 7 with a 3.0 ADP is the anchor, Jared Goff at 66 is a real QB2 at 20.3 projected, but two quarterbacks in superflex means the moment one gets a Wednesday DNP this team is starting Quentin Johnston in the superflex. Jake Ferguson at 127 against a 106 ADP and Sam LaPorta at 79 against 67 is two tight ends of profit. Sixth in projected PAR at 422 with a clean, boring, dangerous roster.
Value Jake Ferguson, pick 127, ADP 107
Reach Cam Little, pick 151, ADP 165
QB room Josh Allen p7, Jared Goff p66
Net value +23 vs ADP, 1 steal, 0 reaches
Proj No. 4 roster on season points above replacement
A 92 built on plus 15 net ADP and three legitimate steals. He let the room take quarterbacks and then stacked Bo Nix at 56 and Brock Purdy at 65, both roughly nine picks past their format ADP, with Fernando Mendoza at 137 as the third body, and that patience is why he sits fifth in projected PAR at 438. Brock Bowers at pick 32 against a 20.9 ADP is the single best positional swing of the night, tight end and a full round of profit. The blemish is De'Zhaun Stribling at 104 when ADP said 139.6, which is 35 picks of enthusiasm for a shoulder that is already questionable.
Value Makai Lemon, pick 128, ADP 105
Reach Eddy Pineiro, pick 161, ADP 197
QB room Bo Nix p56, Brock Purdy p65, Fernando Mendoza p137
Net value -8 vs ADP, 2 steals, 2 reaches
Proj No. 5 roster on season points above replacement
Coletrain22
Coletrain22, slot 9
A+
Draft score 95, net ADP plus 40, the best value board in the league by a mile. Lamar Jackson at 9, Caleb Williams at 40 against a 26.4 ADP and Bryce Young at 136 is the textbook superflex build, three arms, zero panic, 25 out of 25 on the quarterback score. Best decision was Travis Kelce at 112 when the market had him at 94, worst was Chris Boswell at pick 153 when kickers were going 39 picks later. The roster shape says he is playing a long season, and the proj rank of 9 at 380 PAR says the receiver room needs Rashee Rice to be Rashee Rice.
Value Travis Kelce, pick 112, ADP 95
Reach Chris Boswell, pick 153, ADP 189
QB room Lamar Jackson p9, Caleb Williams p40, Bryce Young p136
Net value +23 vs ADP, 2 steals, 1 reach
Proj No. 9 roster on season points above replacement
DJ Dugg-Nasty
DuggyHowzer, slot 10
C
A 68 that is really two different drafts stapled together. The quarterback room is a perfect 25 out of 25, Joe Burrow at 10 and Jalen Hurts at 15 with Kirk Cousins buried at 154, and in a superflex that is a foundation. Everything after that was minus 112 net ADP: Jadarian Price at 63 with an 82 ADP, Jameson Williams at 58 with a 72.5, Cousins 48 picks before the market. That is why he sits 11th in projected PAR at 297 and 127 for week one, the arms are elite and the supporting cast is a coin flip.
Value George Kittle, pick 111, ADP 96
Reach Kirk Cousins, pick 154, ADP 191
QB room Joe Burrow p10, Jalen Hurts p15, Kirk Cousins p154
Net value -93 vs ADP, 1 steal, 1 reach
Proj No. 11 roster on season points above replacement
Shiny catch basin jewels
chairlift, slot 11
F
Draft score 45, net ADP minus 216, five reaches, zero steals, dead last in projected PAR at 230 and last in week one projection at 115.7. Malik Nabers at 14 with a 34 ADP and an ACL note, Josh Jacobs at 35 who is now listed NA with a groin and projects 0.0, and Parker Washington at 62 when the market said 85.3 is 23 picks early for a WR3. Jaxson Dart at 38 is defensible, Cam Ward at 86 against a 108 ADP is 22 picks early for a backup, and that is the whole quarterback room in a superflex. Denzel Boston at 134 with a 179.4 ADP got cut before a single snap was played, which is the entire draft in one transaction.
Reach Denzel Boston, pick 134, ADP 179
QB room Jaxson Dart p38, Cam Ward p86
Net value -222 vs ADP, 0 steals, 5 reaches
Proj No. 12 roster on season points above replacement
Mr.Pocketdogs
dgaylord37, slot 12
B
An 82 with minus 25 net ADP, seventh in projected PAR at 392. Owning the 12 and 13 turn he took Jonathan Taylor and Saquon Barkley back to back, which is the correct crime, then waited until pick 60 for Matthew Stafford, added C.J. Stroud at 85 and stole Malik Willis at 132 against a 104 ADP for a third arm projected at 18.8. Luther Burden at 84 with a 64 ADP was 20 picks of profit. Aaron Jones at 109 against a 132.3 ADP and Zach Charbonnet at 156 while sitting on the PUP list is where the board got loose.
Value Malik Willis, pick 132, ADP 104
Reach Aaron Jones, pick 109, ADP 132
QB room Matthew Stafford p60, C.J. Stroud p85, Malik Willis p132
Net value -33 vs ADP, 2 steals, 3 reaches
Proj No. 6 roster on season points above replacement